Godly Politics

From the look of things it seems God is a little partial to dumb Texas governors who like to wear their religion on their sleeves. Rick Perry (you know, the guy who wants to be president of the country from which he wants to secede) recently held a prayer event in a football stadium (Matthew 6:6) to ask for God's help in dealing with the problems our nation faces. Guess what? To my complete and utter surprise, according to Rick Perry, God wholeheartedly endorses Rick Perry's political ideas. Might as well spill out the goat entrails and see what Ba'al has in mind for 2012.

When you mix your politics with your religion, you wind up with a toxic stew that is poison to both; your religion inevitably gets corrupted by the lying and deceitfulness inherent in the politics and your politics must be perfect and unquestionable because it comes from God. Could the right wing political co-opting of religion be a contributing factor to why American church attendance is going down by about one million per year? When exactly did God anoint the GOP as His chosen people? If God chose George Bush as President, as many, many swore He did back in 2000, then surely God must have known that George was going to make an awful mess of the economy, so what conclusions can we draw about God from this choice? Religion and politics don't mix well because when your Godly politics fail, as they inevitably will (because they actually come from partisan humans), it calls into question your religious beliefs; it pulls your religion down into the muck of politics. If God chooses a president or a political ideology, then God owns the outcome. But according to almost all Christian doctrine, the whole point of our existence is to exercise free will, so if God is choosing our presidents, or steering hurricanes or causing earthquakes or in any other way interfering in human affairs, then we don't really have free will; Do we? So maybe God really isn't partial to dumb Texas governors; maybe it is actually people that don't understand the point of their religion that are partial to dumb Texas governors.

America Held Hostage

The Republicans are doing everything in their power to sabotage the economy and force us into a double dip recession because, as they have openly admitted, it will greatly enhance their chances in the 2012 elections. According to most economists, the debt deal recently forced on Obama at gunpoint will result in about 1+ to 2.0% decrease in GDP which in turn results in 0.5% to 0.7% decrease in employment according to Okun's law. Since current employment is 150 million, the result of the deal will be a loss in the neighborhood of 750k to 1 million jobs in 2012. Republican speaker John Boehner chortles, “I got 98% of what I wanted.” Republican senate leader Mitch McConnell admits, “I think some of our members may have thought the default issue was a hostage you might take a chance at shooting, most of us didn’t think that. What we did learn is this — it’s a hostage that’s worth ransoming.” To top it off, not only will the spending cuts forced on a weak economy probably push the economy back into recession and result in weaker revenue, actually increasing the deficit, but these cuts have already cost us more in projected future interest payments than the cuts were supposed to save in the first place. A lose, lose, lose situation for the nation with the only winner being the Republican Party.

So, in summary: Republicans, behaving like terrorists, hold the American economy hostage with a gun (in the form of threatening a US default on its debt) and swear they will pull the trigger if the president doesn't give them everything they want. Obama, being the reasonable moderate sort of nice guy that he is, pleads with them to release the hostage until the last minute but then gives in to almost all of the Republican demands in order to save the country (1 Kings 3:16). The Republicans, knowing that no president has ever been reelected when the economy is in recession and unemployment is rising, get rewarded with a double dip recession and higher unemployment in an election year. Evil wins. 

Thorium Reactors are Safer, Cheaper, Carbon-Free and More Efficient

With the recent unfolding nuclear reactor disasters in Japan, the public is going to turn away from nuclear power even more than they had previously. Before Fukushima, it was difficult and expensive to get approval for new reactors; now it is going to become near impossible. This may open the door for a new and safer type of technology known as the Thorium Reactor.

Thorium Reactors also known more accurately as Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors (LFTRs pronounced “lifters”) are a proven alternative to the present day nuclear reactors known as Light Water Reactors (LWR).

Advantages of Thorium Reactors:

1. Safer; if power is lost like in Fukushima, the reactor just shuts down with no chance of meltdown. The thorium reactor is self controlling; as the liquid fuel gets hotter, it expands and reduces the number of fuel atoms in the reactor which results in less heat. Since low pressures are used, no need for expensive and vulnerable backup cooling, control and containment structures.
2. There will be start up costs associated with the research and development of new thorium reactors but they will be cheaper in the long run. Fuel is more plentiful and cheaper and doesn't need assembly into fuel rods. Doesn't need control rods and expensive emergency systems to control the reactor. Doesn't need a massive pressure containment vessel. Since they are inherently safer, LFTRs will need less government regulation once their safety has been well established.
3. Less Nuclear Waste. LFTRs produce only a tiny fraction of the waste generated by a LWR and the waste decays rather rapidly to near background levels in about 300 years. Contrast that to the large amount of waste from LWRs that takes hundreds of thousands of years to decay. Realizing that the Pyramids are only 5000 years old; who is going to be around to warn lifeforms away from a waste site 100,000 years in the future? Fortunately, the LFTR can “burn” the waste from the LWRs down to a much smaller and manageable form.
4. More efficient. Nearly all of the thorium is used in an LFTR versus only about 0.7% of uranium in a LWR (one reason the LWR produces so much more waste). One pound of thorium produces the power of 200-300 pounds of uranium. Plus, there is a lot more thorium than uranium in the world.
5. Scalability: LFTRs can be made large or small from 100-kilowatt to multi-gigawatt. It would be possible for small communities to have their own 1 megawatt LFTR and produce their own power instead of inefficiently consuming power from lines traveling hundreds of miles from a large regional power plant.

The One Disadvantage of Thorium Reactors and the reason we have LWRs instead.

1. It's very hard, almost impossible, to make atomic bombs from the LFTR.

This one reason, the ability to make plutonium, was why we (the USA) decided to go the LWR route. Now we have about 1000 tons of plutonium in storage and about 200 tons in our nuclear weapons; so we don't need more plutonium. Therefore the main rationale for pursuing the LWR route is no longer in effect. As many people as possible need to view this informative video featuring Kirk Sorensen where he clearly lays out the history and science behind Thorium reactors.

Are Republicans Willing to Destroy America to Hurt Obama

Since the election of Barack Obama, the strategy of many in the right wing has been to promote failure for the United States. Success of the left and Barack Obama would conspicuously advertise the failure of the Republicans during the Bush administration. Moreover, success by the left would legitimize the role of government in preventing economic ruin and pulling the country back from the brink of disaster that the country was facing when Obama took office.

Evidence of right wing obstruction and efforts against America:

1. During the first two years of the Obama administration, the Republicans in the senate, in a move to delay and disrupt legislation, performed and threatened more filibusters than any time in US history.
2. Republicans are even rooting against the success of America because if America succeeds under a liberal administration their own right wing policies will be more glaringly shown as failures. Here is a video showing a conservative group breaking out in spontaneous applause upon hearing the breaking news that America lost the Olympic bid. Wow, it never occurred to me to root against the US Olympic hockey team just because Reagan was president or to cheer as the WTC buildings collapsed because George Bush was president. The Republican hatred of Obama clearly trumps any love they might have for America.
3. Day in and day out, the repeated doomsday predictions for America have an effect on the psychology of our country. There is an element of self full-filling prophesy in the calls for financial Armageddon. A recent poll shows that 79% of Americans now believe a financial disaster is looming.
4. Now the Republicans are threatening to refuse to raise the debt ceiling. Practically all economists agree that even to talk about not raising the debt ceiling will have a negative effect on the economy but to actually refuse to raise it will be epic economic suicide, forcing the country into a full blown depression. The repeated doomsday predictions and the prevailing belief in economic ruin are the fuel vapor in the room while the threat of American default on our debt may prove to be the spark that sets it off.

The Republicans have clearly brought all their weapons to bear in order to make sure the Obama administration fails. Many Republicans have made a cynical calculation that if Obama, and by extension America, fails that it will benefit them politically. As Rush Limbaugh said, "Let's be honest. Every Republican in America is hoping for Obama's failure." The Republicans are holding a gun to the head of America, threatening to kill us and they are insanely blinded by hatred of Obama (Obama derangement syndrome). The peril is real.

Can Tax Cuts Magically Increase Revenue

Since Reagan, Republicans have been operating under the illusion that tax cuts somehow magically increase government revenue. As an example here is a 2001 article by the Heritage Foundation erroneously predicting that the Bush tax cuts would pay off the entire national debt by 2011. It is worth noting that the idea of tax cuts increasing revenue can actually work in certain circumstances as shown is this simplified graph of the Laffer Curve.

Note on the graph, if we are at point B and reduce taxes, revenue would go up while if we are at point A and reduce taxes, revenue would drop. The problem is that Republicans ALWAYS think we are at point B even when we are clearly at point A.

Selling Only High Risk Insurance is Bad Business; The Solution to Medicare

The original idea of insurance, whether is was for life, fire, health or what-have-you, was that everyone paid the same small amount into a fund and then if someone had the misfortune to need it, they were covered. The idea was to spread the risk of catastrophe among a large number of people. In any given year, most people paying the insurance would not need it.

Insurance evolved into a for-profit business and actuarial tables allowed the business to assign probabilities to the insured and separate them into risk pools. Insurance companies learned that if they could remove those most likely to collect on the insurance from the pool, their profits would soar. Now instead of everyone paying into a pool that was there for those that needed it, the business of insurance became one of trying to identify who might need it and excluding them from the pool. So if you are in the business of selling life insurance, you love to sell it to that 20-year-old but forget that 95-year-old. Selling life insurance to a 95-year-old is bad for business unless the premium is astronomically priced close to the face value.

In recent times, insurance companies have become better and better at predicting who might need actually need the insurance so they can be excluded or placed into a high risk pool.

When it comes to medical care, older people on average need a lot more medical services than younger people; the older they are, the more medical services the are likely to need. We all get there eventually; when we are young, we rarely need medical services but as we get older, things start going wrong and we need more medical help. Insurance companies don't want to sell medical insurance to old people because they have to charge them an exorbitant premium of thousands of dollars a month. Few old people could afford these premiums so they would wind up dying on the steps of the for-profit-hospitals; denied medical care. Not a pretty picture.

Enter Medicare. The government assumes coverage for the old people high risk pool and old people only have to pay a modest monthly premium that the government subsidizes. Health insurance companies are happy because the people most likely to need health care services are removed from their pools. They make more money because they get to sell health insurance to people who are not likely to need it and the government bears the brunt of health care for old people.

The problem is that selling only high risk insurance is bad business; adverse selection results in an insurance death spiral. If you are only covering people that need the services, you will go bankrupt; it really isn't even insurance anymore since everyone is needing service; there is no spreading of risk among a large group. It is just paying a relatively small fee for a large amount of healthcare.

The solution is to get back to the original idea of insurance; everyone pays the same into the pool. Do away with separating people into higher and lower risk pools. The premium that everyone pays is determined so that the pool is sufficient to pay all healthcare; young, old, healthy and sick alike. Everyone is covered with an affordable premium. Twenty-somethings pay more than they would if separated into a low risk pool but someday those twenty-somethings will be seventy-somethings so it all evens out in the long run. Everyone is covered; the program is self funded and adds nothing to the deficit and grandma doesn't have to die curled up on the steps of the hospital denied healthcare.

Democrats Should See the Republican's 61 Billion and Raise Them 200 Billion

The House Republicans are crowing about their 61 billion in cuts from Head Start, school lunches, Planned Parenthood, NPR and other small left wing programs and challenging the Democrats to put up or shut up. Sixty-one billion is about three percent of the deficit and is almost meaningless if you actually want to balance the budget. The Republicans are waging a propaganda war and trying to paint themselves as the party of fiscal responsibility and lower deficits for the 2012 elections.

Look how insignificant the 61 billion is in the big picture.

The Republicans are at a disadvantage with a very limited stake in the no limit poker game of deficit reductions since the only bets they can place come from non-defense discretionary spending which is a small part of the budget. The Democrats on the other hand have an almost unlimited stake since there is plenty of room to raise taxes from the present low levels and find cuts in the bloated military budget. The Democrats, holding a virtual royal flush, are in a no lose situation but they don't realize it and will probably wind up folding.
If the Democrats had any brains, they would see the Republican's 61 billion and raise them 200 billion. The 200 billion can easily be found by combining some cuts from the huge pentagon budget with very modest tax increases on the wealthy; the two things that are verboten to Republicans. Then every time a Republican crows that they can't get Democrats to agree to close the deficit, the Democrats could point out that they are trying to close the deficit even more but the Republicans will not go along.

I said "if the Democrats had any brains"; unfortunately, unless the Democrats radically depart from their history, they will play right into the messaging of the Republicans and allow the Republicans to convince Americans that the Republicans are the responsible party of smaller deficits.